This page of the site contains the latest 10 articles to appear on bythom, followed by links to the archives.
Slow Weeks Two
LEDE ON
Need a state-of-the-art semiconductor produced for your camera? Due to the process size race, there are only three companies that can really make super advanced chips for you: TSMC, Samsung, and Intel. Worse news? 70% of those advanced chips are currently being produced by TSMC (source: Taipei Times), and according to sources their fab orders are already full through the end of 2028.
If you don’t need super small process size, then SMIC (China), United Microelectronics (Taiwan), GlobalFoundaries (US), Huang Group (China), Tower Semiconductor (Japan), Vanguard International (Taiwan), Powerchip Semiconductor (Taiwan), or NexChip (China) may be able to help you, but they, too, have little extra fab utilization they can provide in the near term.
So how does this impact camera companies? Specifically in the BIONZ, DIGIC, or EXPEED. As we demand more intelligence and performance in the camera, these chips are becoming to cameras as Apple Silicon is to the iPhone, iPad, and iMac, i.e. critical and requiring smaller process sizes. Meanwhile, the image sensor fabs are also running at or near capacity, though this is mostly for mobile, auto, and security clients.
If you miss a step and need to redesign a processor or image sensor, you pay the price: you’re at the whim of the overscheduled fabs, and the fab folk aren’t paying a lot of attention to the dedicated camera industry. Even Canon with their own image sensor fab has the issue that they can’t just put new sensors into production without impacting other models. I’m aware of three products now that have hit this redesign and fab capacity problem and have gotten delayed.
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Commentary
What’s Inevitable?
One of my jobs for many years (and to some degree still today) was looking five and ten years out. In the past I’ve mentioned that this was mostly looking at new technologies in research and labs but not yet in production, estimating when they’d be ready for production, and also figuring out the user problem they could solve that wasn’t currently solved. I did this both for software and for hardware during my Silicon Valley career, and I’ve proven pretty prescient in that respect.
But there’s another aspect to this that doesn’t get talked about much, and that’s what happens on the iteration cycle, and why. Generally, that too, tries to solve problems, but not always user problems, as often iteration mostly solves manufacturer or cost problems.
For example, when I predicted well over a decade ago that mirrorless would take over from DSLRs—my original prediction date missed the mark by 12 months, a 10% miss—it was not really because such cameras solved user problems (though they do), but instead because it solved manufacturing and engineering problems. I saw mirrorless as inevitable, regardless as to whether any big user problem got solved, because the Japanese camera companies need constant improvement in cost of production to keep prices in a realm where they still have a consumer market (typically US$1000 to US$3000 these days, though that price range was lower ten years ago).
Mirrorless eradicated parts (e.g. mirrors, prism, and eventually shutters). Mirrorless eradicated many manufacturing alignment steps. Those two things alone were huge cost savings and thus were inevitable.
So the question you should be asking these days is what’s still inevitable in the camera-making industry? I obviously have a few thoughts about that, so let me throw out some likely possibilities:
- Mechanical shutters disappear. This has already started (with the Z9), but it will become more and more prevalent, as it means fewer parts and fewer manufacturing processes, plus fewer mechanical parts that can wear out. Parts and process reduction means lower cost to produce. Eliminating mechanical process is a veiled user benefit (camera less likely to fail). But getting rid of shutters is somewhat tied to another inevitability:
- Rolling shutter disappears. The Holy Grail here is global shutter. The reason why that’s a goal and inevitable is that it solves a bunch of hairy and problematic internal timing and data management problems. “Here’s the data” is a lot easier to deal with then “here’s some of the data, more coming.” Sony moved first here with the A9 III, and this has been a “win” for a limited client set. Eventually it will be a win for everyone.
- Chips disappear. We’ve seen attempts at this with some stacking of memory or partial processing behind the image sensor, but ultimately it’s likely that we end up with a single chip doing image sensing, memory handling, and all sorts of processing (i.e. Stacked, but well beyond the current implementations). This one is tricky, as it’s a huge investment to do in a small market. However, the ultimate payoffs of doing so are going to attract one of the companies to pursue this approach, and then all will have to follow. Sony is probably best positioned to do this, but don’t count out a surprise competitor.
- Viewfinders disappear. This will be a highly contentious thing because tunnel view is so cherished by those that grew up with it. But there’s a series of intersecting things happening behind the scenes now that make traditional viewfinders' disappearance inevitable. First, consider this (very real and currently being pursued) possibility: your mobile phone gets smaller by dropping the screen, and the UI for it transitions to glasses. I’ve been playing with two AI+screen glasses lately and it’s pretty clear to me that this will be (one of) the way(s) we work in the future. I can already do things I didn’t used to be able to do, and the young will almost certainly instantly gravitate to this idea. Moreover, in the meantime, cameras such as the ZR show that a really, really good LCD is perfectly acceptable, and cameras such as the Insta360 Luna show that having that LCD detach opens up new possibilities, too.
I could go on (and probably will at some point), but I’ve kept the list simple and focused here. The key word is “disappear.” The more parts and processes that the camera companies can remove in the creation of a new camera for you, the more they can keep the cost of producing products down, which both benefits the camera makers as well as the users (today’s US$2000 cameras are way more simple to produce than those of 20 years ago, plus they do more, are arguably better at what they do, don’t need as much repair, and so on.
The challenge for the Japanese companies is that the Chinese companies are skipping steps and getting “there” faster. The DJI and Insta360 progression that has rendered GoPro’s dominance a thing of the past and put GoPro’s entire business in jeopardy could be repeated by companies such as Viltrox eventually entering the camera market. A new entrant such as Viltrox would have no skin in the game for parts and designs that are in current use; they could simply skip to the inevitable (and my advice to them would be to do just that).
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Commentary
Not Understanding the Numbers
I continue to get attacked on forums by people who don’t actually look at numbers, let alone interpret them well. One recent repeated comment has been that Nikon doesn’t really sell many APS-C (DX) cameras. Yet Nikon’s own financial statements point out that one of the reasons why the Imaging division's overall revenue and profit lagged a bit last year was because of two specific cameras (Z5II and Z50II), which sold at lower price points than the cameras introduced in previous years. So a low-cost DX camera—which was part of one person’s argument in forum discussions as they thought that Nikon wasn’t doing much in the low-cost market anymore—clearly rose its head and bit Nikon simply by being popular.
Here in the US I can put Z DX unit sales so far over the 200k unit volume mark. True, Z FX lifetime in the US is now over 500k, but one fifth of those predate the release of any DX camera, and that unit volume is spread over seven FX models (and multiple generations) instead of three DX (and only one DX model has had a second generation so far). Dealers tell me DX is still selling well, but again, there are only three DX models to sell, and two of them are getting long in the tooth.
No doubt that DX isn’t as important to Nikon as FX is, but that’s also self-realized. Simply put, since 2009 or so, Nikon has put most of their marketing and sales energy into FX, and they doubled down on that with the Z System. Sometimes you get what you seek ;~).
But here’s the thing: Nikon lives in a market share and unit volume no-man’s land at the moment. They’ve made no real in-roads into Canon and Sony in the past year, and at ~900k total units a year, they’re in Ries and Trout's “marginal third position.” New FX cameras aren’t going to increase the unit volume significantly now, no matter how good they are, and thus parts-sharing costs are stuck in a time warp for Nikon. One way out of that would be to come up with two or more desirable DX cameras. An updated Z30 or Zfc, plus a new higher-end unit would solve a lot of problems for Nikon right now.
As I reported earlier, CIPA’s 2026 numbers so far show full frame mirrorless is in a significant downturn for volume and a modest drop in dollars (yen) brought in the door. I don’t think any of the Canikony trio is going to solve their current dilemma with “more great full frame cameras.” They’ve sucked the dollars out of that clientele and there’s clear Update Fatigue now. The customer target I see not getting everything they’d like is the young and entry market, and they're much more price sensitive, and thus more likely to consider DX (APS-C).
Finally, many seem to argue that “DX is only a portion of Nikon’s sales, so it’s not important to create new DX models.” In the overall market, though, full frame (FX) volume is only about 60% of smaller sensor volume right now [source: CIPA]. Nikon is losing traction in that smaller sensor market, and this also explains their problem in gaining market share. Nikon needs additional (or updated) smaller sensor products to regain a footing, particularly against Fujifilm, which is the number four competitor in terms of market share and trying to unseat Nikon.
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Commentary
AI as UI
Adobe’s announcement this week of adding an AI agent that interacts with products such as Photoshop is another example of something I call AI as UI. Instead of using tools directly, you use them indirectly via chat (or possibly voice chat). Want to remove a background, then you type “remove the background” instead of finding the “remove background” button or menu choice.
I call this backseat driving, because when the result isn’t exactly what you wanted, you’ll need to be “more chatty.” Adobe points out that you can string tasks together, as in “make this portrait my style but substitute a plain background.” My experience with AI and LLMs is that the more you try to string together, the more likely you spend longer doing something, because the devil is in the details, and having to consistently explain your intention makes it incumbent on you to make that clear and precise. Moreover, when you start using standard terms, such as make it brighter, AI always devolves towards the mean, not the (creative) exception. I actually experiment a lot when I process images; I’m not trying to make them look all the same. That said, I can see where someone who does production photography and wants “sameness” might gravitate towards what essentially become AI-driven macros.
The “win” for Adobe is another product they can sell (the AI assistant is part of Firefly, which is another US$10/month for the minimum AI credits and model access, more for more). The “win” for you? I’m not sure. We’ve moved to an SaaS (software as a service) model for the most part, and now we’re moving towards SaaS2 (service as a service), where if you want to do something you’ll pay someone for the privilege.
While I’m a proponent of AI (used correctly and run locally), I’m not a fan of the behemoth tech companies trying to elbow each other to be the first “we covered the planet in servers” winner. xAI (SpaceX), Adobe, Amazon, Anthropic, Google, Microsoft, Nvidia, and OpenAI have the biggest elbows right now, and are jabbing away at each other (Apple is more close to my position).
Wait, you didn’t know you could run AI locally? If you have a recent Apple Silicon Mac with more than the base RAM, yes, you can, and in many different forms (including Apple’s own upcoming on-device one in macOS Golden Gate). Personally, I was vibe programming in Botswana last month with no Internet connection, all local on my MacBook Pro 14”. Yes, there were a few times where I’d rather have had “more power” from a server farm, but quite frankly, my little MacBook Pro provides most of what I need an AI for these days. And for free (well, okay, the MacBook Pro M5 with 64GB RAM wasn’t free, but I use that for other things, too ;~).
Adobe wants you to buy their agent and AI credits to tell their software what to do. Maybe we should instead ask them to just make it easier for us to do what we want in the software. If “remove the background” via AI UI is useful to some, it’s because Photoshop is now complex enough that a number one support question might be “how can I remove the background?”
I’ve been a proponent of UI that follows Alan Cooper’s direct manipulation strategy since he first described it to me in the late 1980’s (see his books About Face and The Inmates Are Running the Asylum). AI as UI is not particularly direct, even though it might feel that way to some. As they might say in parts of the US, “I’m agin it.”
Did Adobe Miss a Turn?
Adobe’s history with imaging dates far back, and I remember using the original Photoshop alpha version back in the late 1980’s with a Barneyscan (I believe it was Photoshop version 0.65 that was labeled as the Barneyscan application I was using). Photoshop had at its core the mission to compose and edit image data at the pixel level, something that has been expanded on ad finitum ever since.
Perhaps Creative Suite diverted Photoshop a bit, as we ended up with features that helped support things like drawing and text, but the core pixel-pushing abilities have pretty much continuously been tweaked, refined, added to, and given more performance through all 27 major variants of Photoshop. If you ignore the “graphic designer flotsam” that’s been added, Photoshop remains a pretty wicked advanced photo editing platform.
The subject of my headline, though, is not Photoshop, but Lightroom. A product I also have deep roots with, as I was involved in a lot of the early discussion and was a beta tester for a brief time before Adobe ratcheted their non-disclosure to the point where they could control what was written about the product.
While Photoshop’s origin was “what can I do with these pixels?”, Lightroom’s was actually a Jeff Schewe idea, which essentially was “what can I do with all these photos I’m generating?”. While pixels are a part of that at some level, the real problem that Lightroom set out to solve was one that both early digital professionals and hobbyists had: they were suddenly generating thousands of images, and had no way to manage them.
And thus the Library (catalog) was formed.
Curiously, Lightroom started veering from Photoshop from the get go: Adobe acquired Pixmantec’s RawShooter to use for the Develop module instead of Photoshop’s then current engine (we’ve gone through many iterations of that, and now both Photoshop and Lightroom use the generically named “Version 6 (current)” process for raw conversion).
However, up through Lightroom 6.x (2015), the program was still pretty recognizable as the original idea augmented and refined. You worked from your Library, occassionally dipping into something else. Your Library was local, and both pros and hobbyists alike basically used Lightroom as their photo command center (even those of us that still used Photoshop for raw conversion and editing).
In 2017, something that had been brewing for several years suddenly raised its head: Adobe no longer saw “photography pros and enthusiasts” as their ultimate market for Lightroom. The Creative Cloud was not only Adobe’s attempt at re-centralizing all visual data (i.e. “it lives on our servers”), but also that Adobe saw themselves competing in the world’s casual photographer competition, along with Apple (iCloud Photos) and Google (and I suppose Meta via Facebook and Instagram).
Much of the past ten years have thus been attempts by Adobe to bring Lightroom CC (the Lightroom for “everyone”) up to the same feature set as Lightroom Classic (the traditional pro and enthusiast product). Adobe continues to try to push everyone, including frazzled Classic users, to use the Creative Cloud instead of their own storage. (I should point out it's unclear how much Adobe was using user cloud-ed images in its AI efforts.)
What this has done is open up the competitive gates. CaptureOne, DxO, and OnOne now have “libraries” of some sort for the primary functions Lightroom has. Heck, Apple Photos is now getting close to equivalent with Lightroom Classic, given the lastest macOS Golden Gate changes.
In essence, Lightroom Classic has pretty much taken a back seat to Creative Cloud and Photoshop, which is where Adobe has concentrated their new efforts. Sure, Lightroom Classic typically gets the latest and greatest Photoshop add-on with a later release, but I’m not seeing Adobe driving that product for their long-term enthusiast/pro customer particularly well. When was the last time that image export was really improved?
In fact, what Adobe is doing with Lightroom Classic is pretty close to what Cory Doctorow calls Enshitification (intentional platform decay). Basically, Adobe is counting on the fact that you built a huge library of images using their product to keep you around while they milk you for short-term profits.
I’ll be clear: I long ago gave up on Lightroom (either version). It is now more complex to do simple things, has marginal overall performance on large image collections or processes, and feels more and more like a “lock in” as opposed to a thriving, evolving, and useful application. It simply doesn’t feel worth a constant tithe to me.
I’ll also note: while I’ve been consistent in my always pursuing de-centralization for 50 years now (I own my data and I keep it current and available to me with my own facilities), the computer world wobbles between centralization and de-centralization cycles. The whole Cloud/AI thing is an attempt by people with way more money than you looking to make even more money from you if you’ll just agree to their centralization of your data.
For the 100% casual, ocassionally-take-a-few-photos user, centralization using Apple iCloud or Google Drive makes sense, as it gives them access on all devices at (virtually) all times. But that really only makes sense on Apple or Google clouds, as pretty much all the others start increasing the effort for less benefit to the casual user.
For pros and serious photo enthusiasts I’d argue that the “centeralized cloud option” doesn’t tend to make a lot of sense. It increases complexities without bringing much in the way of benefit, and I’m pretty sure you’ll get bit in the butt at some point in time in the future. You’re better off managing your images yourself, and using the best tool at any given time to do that.
And that brings me back to the headline. Lightroom Classic stopped “turning” in the right direction some time ago. It has instead turned more into a bloatware and performance sinkhole, and even those two things lag the market now. It’s really the “catalog lock-in” that keeps many of you using Lightroom Classic.
Interestingly, if I type “migrate Lightroom catalog to another application” in DuckDuckGo search, I get a long list of how to move my Lightroom catalog to another computer that also uses Lightroom. That means that the search engines are locking you in, too. Interestingly, Claude took some time to answer the question, but finally came back with a correct answer: CaptureOne has built-in Lightroom catalog import (with restrictions).
At this point, I’m considering dropping Lightroom from my recommended macOS applications. Maybe not quite today, but it feels like “Real Soon Now.”
So what do you think? Is Adobe still on course and getting Lightroom turned all the right directions? Or do you find yourself off-course now, and wondering what to do next?
Slow Weeks
LEDE ON
It feels a bit like Back to the Future at the moment, as some Web sites are deciding to just talk about future products, such as Sony’s announcement that they’re working on the Rialto 65, a new medium format option for the Venice video camera. But that’s a next-year camera. Or perhaps “Why No Canon R7 II This Year?” Canon’s top crop sensor model is now apparently also a next-year camera. Several sites have even published a bizzare rumor that Viltrox will release a camera with the Z mount, accompanied by AI-slop photos. Fujifilm users meanwhile are busy speculating on what new image sensor they’ll see next year when new X bodies start regenerating again.
It appears that any drop in real news stories simply turns the talk forward to speculation and conspiracy theories about future products. Next up: re-evaluate the past products.
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News, Sort of
Photography for Sale
We now have CaptureOne being actively shopped to potential buyers, GoPro saying they’d be open to being purchased to avoid bankruptcy, plus Leica being potentially shopped to Chinese buyers. Mark Roberts appears to be headed to Australia after a brief trip home to the UK after Nikon jettisoned them. If you’re to believe the rumors, Nikon itself will be purchased by an eyeglass company. Sony users are currently wary of another Vaio-type jettison from the mothership and seem to talk about that prospect near constantly.
The camera industry built itself for well over a 100 million camera units a year. Reality these days is more like 7 million units, plus another 10+ million if you include action and small sensor vlogging cameras, though those are now dominated by DJI, Insta360, and the covert-DJI company Xtra. The general approach in Japan in recent years was to take the remaining volume upscale (e.g. many more dollars per unit sold), which kept everyone's coffers full for a time, but the industry is now faced with two critical questions:
- Is it possible to find entirely new customers (e.g. the young) and get them buying dedicated cameras in meaningful volume?
- How often will someone who spent US$2000+ on their last body upgrade purchase another?
The answer to the second question is starting to appear in the latest CIPA data: full frame mirrorless is running only about 90% in units and 97% in value for the first four months of the year. So the answer to #2 may be “not often enough.” Thus #1 is going to be the ride or die category the camera makers need to maximize. That bodes for less expensive crop sensor cameras, so that doesn’t solve the revenue/profit problem. So what’s problem #3? (Nikon seems to think that for them it’s more Cinema cameras.)
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Commentary
The Rise of the Adblocker Takedown Requests
Four photography sites I visit regularly now complain that I have adblockers on. I don’t, though I do use strict browser permissions and when I travel am on a VPN. One major site isn’t just using a dickover to protest my “adblocking” now, but forces me to click on the full-page dickover every time it appears (which is every time I visit) while claiming “we value your time here.” Yeah, not so much, fellas.
Dickover is a term invented by John Gruber (daringfireball.com), one of the earlier bloggers and inventor of Markdown, which many of us use in our Web production. It refers to things that pop-up over the content you actually want to see.
It seems that the whole world now wants to show you ads, and while doing so, collect information about you that will be sold to others so that you can be shown even more ads. As you’re aware, I’d been disengaging from participating in this for some time, culminating in me removing all ads and trackers at the start of this year from all my sites.
I worry that the whole trendline is also ageist, as well. Apparently the young have no trepidition about being tracked and promoted to at every opportunity, apparently because the only job that’s available to them now is “influencer." But we oldsters remember why that isn’t such a good idea and try to keep our browsing private. That has particularly heavy implications on photography sites, because the camera industry is highly weighted towards selling to the older crowd, particularly when some new cameras are over US$6000 in price and lenses sometimes top US$10,000. Thus, photography Web sites that think continuing the ad naseum ad parade is going to pay their costs are probably wrong. Unless, I suppose, they simply pivot to cover DJI Osmos and Insta360 cameras, which are being gobbled up faster than mirrorless ones these days.
It used to be that media had a Chinese Wall (firewall) between advertising and content. These days, it’s a Chinese Firehose, and it’s being shoved down users’ throats. Meanwhile AI (and search) is scraping the public data from those sites and serving up the same material, with confabulations, and claiming that it’s helping you.
We’re at a critical juncture with photography, it seems. The collapse of one thing leads to a collapse of another, which reinforces the collapse of the first thing. We need active, useful photography sites that aren’t just ad platforms or suckers for AI scraping. A few have gone hybrid: subscription removes ads or adds material the AI engines won’t see and serve up. But be careful, affiliate link relationships still abound on many of those sites, and where money changes hands like that, you’re still the product being sold.
Imitation is the Sincerest Form of…What?
I’ve previously written about imitation (e.g. Two Approaches to Photography), but a recent question asked in the Photography section of Reddit caught my interest and is a really good one: “When you look at a photographer you love [and try to imitate them] what are you actually trying to replicate?”
We don’t ask ourselves enough questions about the photography side of photography, and that question is a pretty basic one that deserves an answer.
For me, trying to replicate something someone else is doing is always an attempt to understand what decisions were made and to consider why they were made the way they were. I’m not trying to duplicate another photographer’s style or look, but instead am trying to understand how they might have developed it. Sometimes just the process of discovery reveals something that I either needed to know or at least contemplate.
At WPPI (the big annual Wedding and Portrait photographers conference) a huge number of the training, seminars, and talks there center around lighting. The difference between a Joe McNally and Annie Liebowitz image may start with that. From there, the two also have differing styles in how they “plan” their images as well as how they interact with and “control” their subjects. Understanding those differences helps me think about what I might want to do when I take a portrait and why. [disclosure: I don’t consider myself as currently having a particular portrait style I pursue; thus my interest in what others are doing, and why.]
As a creative artist, I look for ways to put my stamp on how the final image looks. In other words, I’m not trying to replicate a particular look to be able to use that for myself, I’m attempting to understand how the photographer came to create that look.
It’s tough to photograph if you can’t “see”, but exactly what is it that you’re “seeing”? It’s rare I run into someone that is constantly asking themselves that question, yet I believe that it’s one of the primary things that help distinguish your work from that of others. If you’re not trying to create your own unique work, what exactly is it that you’re pursuing photography for?
When I watch a McNally or other well-known photographer work, I’m asking myself a series of questions. One is “why is he or she making that choice?” and another is “would I make the same choice; if so why, and if not, why not?” This is one reason why at conferences such as WPPI I spend most of my time watching other photographers work, as opposed to sitting in lectures that say “do this, then that, then this.” I’m confident that I could teach useful things at WPPI myself, but note what I wrote above: I don’t consider that I have an established portrait style. Thus any demonstration or talk I might give would either be oriented to the technical aspects of something, or simply be improvised theater.
I’m always looking for what problems a photographer faced—e.g. a bad background—how they evaluated that, and then what decisions they made about it. I’m also always looking for the “why” in demonstrations as opposed to the “what.” The gear they’re using isn’t generally relevant, but how they use the gear is.
I should also point out that, even if you establish a look, styles change over time, and so should what you do. Because I’m mostly a sports and wildlife photographer, I try to accomplish that by making time in any session to pursue “new ideas.” I believe I’ve written this before, but I have several “series” of photos I’ve been working on over time that take one specific idea to an extreme. I’ll capture my usual work, but I’ll constantly be pushing and prodding aspects of it to see if I can find “a new angle” or add to one of my existing series.
Which brings us back to the question that started this article: if you’re trying to replicate something, do you know why? In painting, for instance, it’s a common practice to try to replicate famous works by famous artists. This is done not to create a copy of the painting, but rather to learn how brush strokes, layering, color palettes, and more all work together in creating something.
It’s common practice in photography to ask for EXIF data for an image (e.g. focal length, shutter speed, aperture, ISO). As many of you know I hesitate to do that, because when I’ve gone into Socratic mode and asked everyone what knowledge that gains them, their answers are dramatically vague. Moreover, those photographic attributes should be pretty obvious from the photo itself.
It’s a little different if you’re looking at something such as a slow shutter speed and wondering exactly what the value was as well as understand how fast the subject was moving. Those two things—shutter speed and subject motion speed—get pretty nuanced, so maybe there’s something useful in learning the shutter speed a photo was taken at. But only if you also understand the subject motion. 1/15 of a second works different for a runner across the scene than a car moving diagonally versus a small bird flying almost at you. If you’re asking for a shutter speed, you should also be asking yourself “why did that shutter speed work (or didn’t work)?” (Similar things apply to apertures. But knowing the ISO value doesn’t really help you.)
So what questions are you really asking about photographs you like (or don’t like)? The first question, of course, is whether you like a photo or not, but that should immediately lead you down a path of questioning what is and isn’t working, and why.
Before moving on, I should also point out that you won’t (shouldn’t) like all photos you see, even if they might be good ones. You don’t like every motion picture you go to (even if it won awards) or your favorite musician’s latest release.
A photo “works for you” (you like it), or it doesn’t (you don’t like it). No professional photographer I know expects that every image they take will be adored by others. We work hard to make our work stand out and be appreciated, but it’s a fool that thinks that they create greatness every time they press a button.
At workshops I teach that you press that button—the shutter release—because you were attracted to something. (If you’re pressing the shutter release for any other reason, are you just leaving things to chance?) Do you know what that is and why you were attracted to it? The first time that my Africa students see a lion close up, their attraction is “lion.” Great. Now that you have a photo of lion, what next? You’re certainly not done, so what are you thinking about in how to improve your images that contain lions?
I also teach that you should always press the shutter release, even if your camera might not be set right or if you don’t know why you’re pressing the release. Our subconcious brains are telling us something, and if that’s “press the button, dummy” then don’t be a dummy: press the button! However, that should immediately trigger some further critical thinking. Do you understand why you pressed the shutter release?
In the days of film there was a special “lag” we didn’t talk about much: the time before you pressed the shutter release while you considered whether it was economically wise to press the button. That’s both because every photo cost you money (film and developing, maybe printing), but also because we had a limited number of frames (24 or 36, typically) before we had to take the camera out of commission for a period of time while we rewound the film, pulled it from the camera and put it somewhere safe (and maybe labeled it), put in another roll, and started the process of it being loaded for use. 90% chance that pressing the shutter release doesn’t net a useful photo? Then you probably didn’t press the button. 90% change that it would be a useful photo? You almost certainly pressed the button. But there was always a short lag before you did because your brain needed to calculate the odds.
With digital, of course, we don’t have that economical calculation to do: just press the button if you feel you should press the button. However, that can cost you time downstream, where you have to sort out the hits from the misses. Most of us working the sideline in sports press (and often hold) the button, then during the time between plays immediately evaluate whether or not we got what we needed. If not, we press delete and get ready for the next play. While I hate TV timeouts when watching sports, on the sidelines they’re revered, as you get some time to review what you’ve just been doing.
The journalistic questions (who, what, when, where, why, how?) are useful ones for a photographer, too. For example: Was when you pressed the shutter release correct? Do you know why you took the photo? How can the photo be improved?
Since we started this discussion with people trying replicate what a photographer did, it’s important you ask the questions just presented two ways. Why did you take the photo? Why did the original photographer take the photo you’re trying to replicate? You’re not doing yourself (or the original photographer) any justice if you don’t consider things both from your viewpoint and theirs.
The Next Lens Revolution
Get ready for new controversy.
We’ve had several big changes in how lenses are designed in the digital era, and more are coming. The two biggest differences in 21st century lenses have been improvements in computer modeling during the design process coupled with using in-camera “corrections” to “fix” aspects that aren’t addressed by the optical design itself.
“Corrections” and “fix” are in quotes in the previous paragraph because the current form for these is simply some brute force simplified math. For instance, vignetting isn’t measured precisely and then corrected via similar precise pixel-by-pixel data shifts. Instead, virtually all the vignetting corrections are a set of circles containing a pre-ordained amount of data shift, which may or may not exactly match what the lens is doing.
Here’s what’s going to happen next: AI lens corrections.
Large language model AI is about pattern matching. Optical design generates plenty of patterns. We’re going to see AI correction calculated during the computerized design process, and then a way of applying those very specific corrections downstream when the image is actually created.
Already we have some neural signal processing happening in smartphones that does something similar, mostly with so called “telephoto zoom” created from cropping. But what I’m talking about will go further, and essentially pattern-correct the lens aspects that the computerized optical design let slide (typically in order to optimize something else).
This isn’t as simple as it at first sounds (e.g. just apply a correction). Lenses focus at different distances, have adjustable apertures, and may even mechanically zoom, all of which changes the underlying optical patterns and correction needs. Thus, say a 24-70mm f/2.8 lens might need 24, 35, 50, 70mm, close focus, medium focus, distance focus, and fast aperture to slow aperture “adjustment files” at a minimum. Still, that’s doable today with current technology, someone just has to implement it.
Which brings us to the controversy that will ensue.
A perfectly corrected lens wil almost certainly be rejected by some as being “too clinical.” Sure, but the data being collected in the raw file will be more optimal than before, so I’m for it. Take it a step further, though: not only can you create a near perfect optical correction this way, you can create presets that render differently. Get ready for Lens Picture Controls (LPC). Want classic edge sharpness falloff with vignette? Use the Vintage LPC.
You thought photographers argued about whose color presets are better, wait until we start arguing about whose lens presets are better.
Things Said on the Internet, Part XXXIV
“[Panasonic L10 is] the most exciting camera of 2026 (so far)” — 43rumors headline repeating a dpreview headline.
Hmm. The L10 was the second camera announced in 2026 when dpreview published that headline. By the time the headline appeared in 43 rumors, the L10 was the second of only four cameras announced in 2026. So 43rumors has a one in four chance of being right instead of just clickbaiting ;~). dpreview was both right and clickbaiting.
The present paucity of products popping up means that everyone covering cameras and lenses on the Internet gets overly excited when awakened from their writing slumber to comment on something new again. It’s not as if we’re getting anything particular “new” either; we’re getting modest to moderate iteration for the most part. Woo hoo!
Meanwhile, every site seems to be rushing to post affiliate linkages that end up at wait lists that might not ever generate revenue for them. What a business model.
“Pre-orders already exploding” — newcamera headline
Continuing on a theme, now we have a camera (Insta360 Luna Ultra) that hasn’t yet been announced with supposed strong pre-order reports. Best get your affiliate linkage ready, Internet (“we will update this article the second Insta360 drops the official global pre-order link” [emphasis newcamera’s, not mine]).
On your marks, set, affiliate link!
What a business model.
“News: Comparing 6 Best AI Photo Enhancers.” —Imaging Resource headline
A strange article, to say the least. I’m happy Imaging Resource is back, but then I’m not sure it’s really back. First, listing a “comparison” (more on that later) as “news” basically tells us that the new Imaging Resource editors don’t know the definition of news. Given that they have both Reviews and Buyer Guides sections on their Web site, how did the article in question become news?
The front half of the article is basically an advertorial for Aiarty Image Enhancer, complete with…wait for it…affiliate links. I can confirm that Aiarty has been sending emails to photo Web sites encouraging articles, reviews, links. Apparently some are taking them up on the request.
As if to legitamize the “comparison” aspect of the headline, the second half of the article briefly lists five other AI enhancers, though this is headed with “if you prefer to avoid subscription-only apps, here is a nice change to unlock lifetime license [sic] from Aiarty.”
On my browser, the article was accompanied by an ad for Bombay Sapphire Dry Gin. I suppose if I drink enough of that I might consider the article both news and a real comparison. Unfortunately, I’m a teatotaler, so: it’s not news, and not really a comparison.
Dare I say it? What a business model.
“…the market for Action cameras is small” “…the market for Action cameras is finite.” –many comments on the Interwebs
This is typically said in discussing GoPro’s financials and the possibility that they might be sold or go away completely.
Don’t believe Internet amateurs ;~). GoPro sells more cameras each year than does Nikon. Oh wait, Nikon’s going to go away, too, according to those naysayers.
The real issue for GoPro is that we’re now on their 14th iteration (or so), and not a lot got iterated along the way. Meanwhile, the Chinese competition is on their 4th iteration (or so), and quite a bit is getting iterated by them. So much so that GoPro’s market share has plummetted into what is likely single digits in the (small ;~) Action camera market. DJI, Xtra, and Insta360 are growing like weeds as they innovate in the space, while GoPro is showing revenue decline despite being the market initiator. That’s Classic Silicon Valley, not knowing what made you successful and how to iterate on it to protect it.
For instance, it now seems as if GoPro will be last to multi-lens Action cameras or the truly tiny versions (e.g. Insta360 GO 3S or Xtra Atto). The GoPro Mission 1 Pro ILS with its interchangeable lens capability comes almost 20 years after I first asked for it on this Web site.
What a business model.
Site Timing
It’s been a tough year so far, with a number of unexpected external issues causing me to fall behind my original schedule, including a family emergency that has me bouncing back and forth across the country. I’ve had far less office time this year than expected, so getting big projects done in a timely fashion has been difficult.
Here are my new estimated launch times for projects you know about (I have additional projects you don’t know about, but I’ll let them be a surprise when they appear):
- Update to the existing Zf book: soon; should be the next project shipped
- Nikon ZR for still photography book and ZR review: summer
- Update to Nikon Z9 book: late summer, early fall
- New byThom Web site: summer (this project is well on its way; but everything is being been rewritten, and I mean everything)
- New zsystemuser Web site: late fall
- byThom MAX launch: January 1, 2027 (material has been and continues to be generated for this, so it should be fully stocked when it launches)
Things I have managed to get done so far this year include (a) teaching a pair of two-week workshops in Africa in new locations, (b) relaunching filmbodies.com (including creating a new free book for Nikon film SLR users and rewriting everything that was on that site), (c) completed basic lab testing for 12 new lens reviews and one camera review, (d) wrote another book (not on photography), (e) prototyped and designed for the future Web sites and updates, (f) created a number of items for byThom MAX, plus (g) the usual keeping you up to date on the photography news that’s relevant as well as posting useful new articles on the three active sites.
It’s not that I haven’t been busy. Just the opposite. It’s that many of the projects I’m working on require distraction-free, concentrated time in order to complete, which has been rare in the last few months. The good news is that I can now see things getting better over the next few months, which may allow me to hit the schedule I outline above.
So bear with me.
Exceeding Supply Again
Once again we have a camera manufacturer (Panasonic with the L10) announcing that orders for a new camera “greatly exceeds our expectations.” The actual truth: orders exceeded what they can deliver initially. Why not just say that?
By using the “exceeds our expectations” wording, the Japanese are constantly saying, in essence, that they are producing cameras that that they thought wouldn’t have all that much interest initially. That they could deliver to expectations, and expectations were low.
Further, this wastes early buzz for a new product, as people get in line, find they can’t get it, and then buy something else for their upcoming trip, vacation, event, whatever.
There was a time in the digital era when companies announced their initial production level for a new product, and if demand exceeded that, they’d apologize that they couldn’t deliver to demand and would increase the manufacturing level. Unfortunately, as total unit volumes plummetted after 2011 and supply chain issues started becoming a regular problem, no one seems to want to say how many they can produce or whether they can increase production to meet demand.
Instead, they’ve all taken the “this product went viral on us” approach when demand exceeds supply, but that may actually be counterproductive. The thing about “going viral” is that it is a very temporary thing. Yesterday’s viral is today’s out of sight. If you ask your local camera dealer, they’ll tell that when a wait list for a new product lasts longer than a month, quite a few people on that list decline to buy when the product finally becomes available.
I’m a believer that accurate information, updated as necessary, is the best approach to just about everything, including marketing. If it were my company, I would have said “We hoped that [this] would be a popular product, and initial demand confirms that. However, our initial production won’t meet that current demand. Accordingly, we’ll do our best to rapidly increase production and get cameras to everyone that wants one as quickly as possible.” (I’d be tempted to put real numbers in there, but customers don’t always understand numbers. 50k units a year would be a good sales number for something like an L10, for instance. And maybe the monthly production capacity is 5K units. That doesn’t sound like much to most people, but it’s actually a healthy number and a lot of today’s cameras are produced at or just above that level. After all, only 8m cameras of all kinds from all Japanese makers were sold last year, and almost half of those came from one company that makes a couple of dozen models.
The real issue is what happens two or three months after a camera introduction and demand is being met. How do you keep demand up? That’s called marketing. And the Japanese companies are still pretty poor at that. It doesn’t help that they’re putting all their shouting voice into what happens during launch weeks.
May’s News
LEDE ON
It seems that the camera producers are all claiming that they’ve “secured” memory and some other critical part supplies for the year. I noted that in at least one case they also talked about increased pricing, though. Meanwhile, CaptureOne doesn’t have a parts issue, but they’ve now announced that their pricing will go up 6%. Frankly, in times of inflation I expect everyone pushes their pricing as much as they think they can get away with.
The problem I see coming is that all these cost increases that are happening—don’t forget cards, SSDs, and hard drives—eventually will have people giving up something, with subscriptions being one of the first to go. Particularly subscriptions that don’t add anything to the product over time (I’m looking at you Nikon NX MobileAir).
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News
Sony’s Month
Sony awoke from their product slumber with a bang, announcing the now 67mp A7RVI along with a 100-400mm f/4.5GM OSS lens. If that wasn’t enough, the Xperia 1VIII smartphone also came along for the ride. It didn’t hurt that a lot more FE lenses showed up at the Beijing photography show, including a prototype of the Sigma 85mm f/1.2, or that the first major firmware update for the popular A7V showed up. It was a busy month for Sony users, and the news provoked fandom responses.
Let’s start with the big lens. The new fixed aperture 100-400mm looks like a real winner. Only a third of a stop slower than f/4, this US$4300 lens is a solid focal length for both sports and wildlife, and my sports photography friend Patrick Racey Murphy seems to like it a lot. Yes, it’s in a different price range than the competitor’s 100-400s, but the difference between f/5.6 and f/4.5 is meaningful to a lot of users, both for low light work as well as for background separation. Nikon’s got their work cut out for them, as the aging Nikkor 100-400mm f/4.5-5.6 VR S isn’t as sharp at 400mm or as full featured as this new Sony.
Most of the talk this month was A7RVI worship. A new stacked image sensor coupled with attention to getting dual gain results (at least with mechanical shutter) makes for a lot of the excitement. At 67mp (technically 66.8) it’s the most pixels in a full frame sensor, yet the early results show the new sensor more than holds its own while making some clear rolling shutter gains. 30 fps blackout free bursts aren’t exactly what you might expect on a pixel pusher, though the A7RVI is not quite a sports camera due to some lingering roll in all-electronic shutter.
New to the A7RVI are a bigger battery, 32-bit float audio, illuminated buttons, and a dual USB-C arrangement. The grip is also a bit different due to the larger battery. While the EVF is still 9.44m dot, it gets a brighter OLED panel that can provide HDR viewing in a near P3 space.
Overall, it looks like Sony addressed many of the primary complaints about the A7R. They may have even fixed my primary complaint about the preceeding model with that dual gain use while operating under mechanical shutter. The Mark VI seems like a solid update that will win new buyers, though it has risen US$600 in price from the original V to US$4499.
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News
Canon's Month
“Hey, we’ve got a new camera and new lens, too” said Canon on the same day as Sony fanned heat from their supporters. Surprising to some, Canon’s new offerings didn’t quite get the same rabid response as did Sony’s.
That’s probably because the new US$2500 R6 V is basically the current R6 III in Nikon ZR form. In other words, designed for “advanced creatives.” The R6 V did have one significant fan on day one, though: the fan built into the camera to keep it cool while recording video. That’s fine, but Canon now has to explain why their ZR needs a fan while Nikon’s doesn’t.
Personally, I find it difficult to believe that there is enough market for the Canon R6 V, Nikon ZR, and Sony ZV-E1—let alone the FX’s—to all thrive. Moreover, I don’t think any of the three hit the nail quite on the head; each has liabilities and missing features that the others don’t, an indication that no one really yet knows exactly how their small full frame slinger should be configured.
Along with the camera, Canon launched a new 20-50mm f/4L IS USM PZ lens (US$1400).
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News
Nikon's Month
Nikon didn’t launch any new products while I was out of town, but there were two announcements from them of note.
The first was Nikon’s full fiscal year results, which produced quite a bit of the usual “Nikon is dying” response from the amateur inexperts. While most of the Nikon businesses either hit or were close to their forecast revenue, the issue that triggered the naysaying was the higher-than-expected loss. Nikon Imaging actually sold more cameras and lenses than originally expected, but a lot of the volume was lower priced Z50II and Z5II models, plus the write-off associated with the “sale" of Mark Roberts (now in bankruptcy) didn’t help the bottom line for the group. Considering Nikon didn’t launch a new camera in the last half of their fiscal year, the results seem fairly strong to me.
The Nikon weaknesses are three: (1) Nikon Precision seems to have no way to take advantage of the semiconductor boom and keeps missing targets due to write-downs and delays; (2) the new Components and Manufacturing businesses aren’t showing the expected sales and profit growth that was promised; and (3) free cash flow has been negative for four straight years now, and in a time where interest rates are no longer zero in Japan that has longer term implications if the problem is not fixed. Still, I’d simply characterize Nikon’s results as weak this year, and not close to fatal. We’ve seen this play before, and the protagonist survives just fine.
Nikon’s other announcement was developmental, as in “we’re working on a 120-300mm f/2.8 TC VR S lens.” Uh, thanks Nikon, but we already knew that. We did get a few photos of the new lens, though, and they reveal that Nikon learned nothing from my criticism of the placement of the controls on the 400mm f/2.8 TC VR S. The Fn buttons are nowhere near where my hand will be, among other things. Meanwhile, for some reason everyone is betting this new top line lens will sell for US$8000. I’d say that’s tremendously optimistic. It’s more likely a US$10,000 lens, particularly given the inflationary market we’re currently in (sensing a theme, yet?).
Do I want one? Not exactly. At 120-300mm plus 420mm via TC and effective 610mm via DX crop on the 45mp cameras, it just barely qualifies for my wildlife use, yet it looks to be almost as big as the 400mm f/2.8 I currently use. On the other hand, if I do more sports in 2027 than I did in 2026, maybe I’d be more interested.
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News
Fujifilm's Month
If Nikon was relatively quiet, Fujifilm was mostly silent. While management did talk about possible lenses to the press—I think Fujifilm is starting to feel the Chinese lens threat—nothing much else got said. The fiscal year results were good (an 18% increase in revenue from the digital side, though that pales against the 26.2% increase on the InStax side).
It strikes me that Fujifilm is at a critical juncture now. They’ve built a small user base that seems loyal. They’ve made very good products at the high compact (X100VI and GFX100RF), APS-C (X-E5 and X-T50 added to the bigger lineup), and medium format (GFX100II). As a Fujiflm user would I be looking to upgrade anything? And as someone outside the brand, can they make something that would get me in?
I see Fujifilm’s main problem as still lagging in autofocus. But fixing that isn’t enough, I think. Fujifilm needs to get X-Pro and X-H users to upgrade now, and that’s going to be tougher given the competition’s advancements.
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News
Panasonic's Month
Panasonic took a small idea and made it larger. Literally. The modest-sized LX100 is now replaced by a larger-sized L10. The good news is all the S1II-sourced goodies (autofocus, video, etc.). The bad news is that I think Panasonic might not have gotten the UX quite right (I’ll hold final judgment on that until I can test one; I still have to post my Ricoh GRIV review first). It certainly looks as if I’d be using the customization features on the camera to get it to operate the way I want it to.
My first impression is that it presents as a very simple camera externally, only to send the user into customizations to get it operationally optimized. The fact that subject detection doesn’t fall back to general autofocus when no subject is detected isn’t user friendly and also seems wrong for a “simple” camera. Couple that with the body size increase on a m4/3 sensor camera that was properly sized before, and I’m not sure what to make of things from press releases and quick glances. At least we have an on/off lever instead of a button. At US$1500, the L10 is in a rich crowd, though each of the competitors has a completely different take.
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Wrapping Up
And in other news
The Chinese lens parade continued throughout the month.
▶︎ 7Artisan’s 135mm f/1.8. The budget Plena is here, with FE and L mounts coming. I’d be surprised if it seriously matched a Plena, though.
▶︎ Thypoch’s 24-50mm f/2.8. An autofocus zoom from an unlikely source takes on the Sony.
▶︎ BrightinStar had a big month. An autofocus 12mm f/2.8 for the FE mount, plus some additional manual focus lenses.
▶︎ Laowa produced a zoom fisheye. The 4.5-10mm f/2.8 is small, but that’s partly because it only covers the APS-C sensor.
What Goes Away Next?
One thing that people don’t always expect with the long march of technology is that things go away. We’re nearing the end of USB-A, for instance, with virtually everything now coming only with USB-C due to European regulations.
Frankly, the camera makers seem a bit behind the times. With my Insta360 and DJI devices, for example, they only have a USB-C port, but my current cameras have many. Too many. And badly placed ports, on top of that.
So let’s start today’s discussion with one about what ports are likely (or should) go away.
First up is HDMI. Be honest now: when was the last time you plugged something into your HDMI port? Before you say “but I plug in my Atomos Ninja all the time,” let me warn you, that’s not a good answer. HDMI was designed as a way to transfer video and audio simultaneously through a single cable (as opposed through the three cables it used to take in the RCA Jack era). The consortium that created HDMI had vested interests. One of those was copy protection of material being transmitted on the cable.
With USB4 currently being deployed, there’s really no need for HDMI, as via a single USB-C connector you can now do multiple things (power, data transfer, video display, etc.), and do them at the same or better speeds than the current typical state of HDMI.
I expect HDMI to be the first connector to be dropped from virtually all cameras in the future. While some might say that keeps users from directly plugging cameras into TVs, how many are doing that, and no, you may not even need a cable to do that.
Which brings me to microphone and headphone jacks. The 21st Century way—the Japanese camera makers are still dragging their feet in the 20th Century—is to use wireless connections. I rarely use wired mics any more. Bluetooth is currently at 2.1Mbps, which is more than adequate for compressed audio. But there’s always Wi-Fi, as well, which currently hits 1000+Mbps if you need faster communications.
Why would you drop connectors from cameras? For a number of reasons:
- Each connector costs money and often requires ribbon cables internally. Between the two, there’s a real cost per unit implied here, and while you might think it low, low adds up when you make a million devices.
- Everyone seems to want smaller cameras, and smaller cameras don’t have a lot of real estate to dedicate to connectors. The classic left-side location interferes with hand grips and articulating screens, adding a frustration level.
- Connectors are entry points for moisture. This requires more parts, typically a door or flap to keep water from ingressing into the vulnerable digital interior of the device.
- Reliability (and thus repair costs) goes down. Physical connectors can wear over time, but the real issue is related to the first bullet: the connector mounts to something, a ribbon cable connects it to something else. The more complex that warren of connections gets, the more likely that something works loose. In talking to service technicians, not only are a fair number of repairs related to connectors, but a number of “needs to be returned for a second fix” services are due to not getting everything properly set during the repair.
- Some connectors require licensing fees. Generally these are patent pool fees and relatively low per unit, but again, even a few cents a unit adds up when you ship enough product.
Quite frankly, the Chinese are eating the Japense for lunch right now when it comes to “connectivity.” All the latest gear coming out of China is basically a single USB-C connector for power and sometimes communication, and Bluetooth/WiFi to well designed mobile apps for everything else.
But the real issue lurking for the Japanese camera companies as they contemplate taking out parts is that the Japanese typically don’t address users directly when they do. They take something out because it makes sense from a production point of view, but not always from a user point of view.
I’ll give you a recent example: the Ricoh GRIV has internal memory and Ricoh suggests that the user doesn’t need a card. But Ricoh relies upon the user to understand how they might connect to that internal memory to get to their images. The Ricoh uses the old media transfer protocol, which may or not show the device on your computer when you connect it. On a Mac, for instance, you have to use Apple’s Image Capture application to see the camera, but how many people will know that without reading the manual thoroughly? (It’s in the Frequently Asked Questions for a GRIV, which should tell you something.)
Personally, I’m for removing connectors and maybe even cards. But not without directly addressing usability when things get removed. I still need to connect to mics, monitor audio, record video, move files to my computer, and so on. I want all those things done in ways that are seamless, reliable, and simple to use. That requires a software team that’s a good as the hardware team, and that is going to be the real issue for the Japanese as they start trying to simplify their product and make it more reliable, all while also making it cheaper to build.
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Bonus: A similar common complaint comes with phones and laptops: why are there no longer removable batteries, for instance? I can tell you that the design goal in Silicon Valley has long been “lasts a full day.” That, coupled with product reliability, has led to the demise of changeable batteries. It’s a long discussion around the “reliability” bit, including the fact that a lithium battery that’s not directly accessible by a user is less likely to develop problems, but I’ve seen the data, and it’s pretty clear: support issues went way down. Given that every internal battery these days is either USB-C and/or MagSafe chargeable, if you need “more batteries,” you can just buy a generic USB-C power bank.
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Double Bonus: If I were designing a serious camera these days, I’d be dropping a lot of things that you probably take for granted. Two USB-C connections only. If more connections are really needed, I’d do that through a proprietary hot shoe connection scheme, but frankly, excellent Bluetooth/Wi-Fi support with the right app is probably all that’s necessary. No cards; all internal memory (64GB; longer video can stream to the USB-C port). No user changeable battery (charge/power via USB-C). There’d therefore be no real doors on the camera, reducing the need for additional weather sealing, simplifying manufacturing, and increasing reliability. The real decision point would be the Rear LCD: I suspect that I’d make it attach magentically to the camera back and be fully removable. Need selfie position? Hot shoe stand for the Rear LCD facing forward.
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